Friday, May 1, 2009

Singles probably won't get the job done

Extra Base Hit Study

0 extra base hits in an inning = 10% of the time at least one run is scored
1 or more extra base hits in an inning = 67% of the time at least one run is scored

Leadoff batter on base Study

Leadoff batter of the inning reaches base = 48% of the time at least one run is scored
First baserunner of the inning is with 1 out = 40% of the time at least one run is scored
First baserunner of the inning is with 2 outs = 18% of the time at least one run is scored


What can we take from these stats? First off, it is extremely important to have guys in the order with extra base power. The difficulty of scoring at least one run without an extra base hit is immense. I think this is why I have noticed more and more teams playing "no doubles" outfield depths early in games. They figure it will take at minimum 3 singles to score one run and sometimes even four. The other thing we learned from the studies is the importance of getting a baserunner with 1 or fewer outs. When the leadoff guy reaches teams are scoring almost 50% of the time. Even with one out the run scoring only drops to 40%. On the flip side, if you're a pitcher it shows the importance of attacking the batters and getting the first 2 outs of the inning as quickly as possible.

Tabbies and Wings games tonight! Unfortunately I may be missing both games because I'm attending the Buccos' game this evening. For those of you who can, holla at Detroit and some crazy rackay tackay! It's time to give the biz in the D!

Keep rowing your boat folks. And when can row no longer, motorboat it!

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